Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009738 0.011621 0.013928 0.017017 0.021132 0.026555 0.034486
2025-05-11 0.007312 0.009456 0.012411 0.016964 0.024165 0.035875 0.058330
2025-05-18 0.005921 0.008036 0.011171 0.016464 0.025920 0.044007 0.088057
2025-05-25 0.004933 0.006914 0.009999 0.015558 0.026433 0.050125 0.121650
2025-06-01 0.004270 0.006139 0.009170 0.014936 0.027138 0.057118 0.169995
2025-06-08 0.003918 0.005786 0.008946 0.015323 0.030080 0.072014 0.286032
2025-06-15 0.003554 0.005354 0.008495 0.015127 0.031604 0.084590 0.449603
2025-06-22 0.003171 0.004835 0.007801 0.014251 0.031059 0.090041 0.607570
2025-06-29 0.002962 0.004595 0.007586 0.014363 0.033276 0.109024 1.131034
2025-07-06 0.002829 0.004470 0.007568 0.014920 0.037134 0.142044 2.991593
2025-07-13 0.002760 0.004452 0.007758 0.016032 0.043558 0.205334 20.179349
2025-07-20 0.002652 0.004347 0.007749 0.016639 0.048707 0.279811 1914.212487
2025-07-27 0.002479 0.004118 0.007481 0.016599 0.051921 0.362174 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002322 0.003905 0.007225 0.016551 0.055369 0.480218 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002156 0.003658 0.006856 0.016069 0.056491 0.584929 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001986 0.003386 0.006395 0.015192 0.055040 0.639332 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001850 0.003172 0.006044 0.014590 0.054796 0.736911 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001781 0.003091 0.005997 0.014965 0.060721 1.161490 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001689 0.002954 0.005797 0.014774 0.063086 1.576896 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001574 0.002758 0.005430 0.013926 0.060380 1.645647 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001514 0.002676 0.005337 0.014035 0.064777 2.616747 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001477 0.002641 0.005359 0.014574 0.073410 5.922075 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001463 0.002653 0.005506 0.015651 0.088997 31.666338 NaN